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Wednesday, April 30, 2008

The Dollar

The greenback was mixed in the Tuesday session, advancing versus the euro while relinquishing gains against the sterling and the yen. The economic calendar saw the release of the April consumer confidence survey, which declined to 62.3, albeit less than expected, from 64.5 from March.

The major currency pairs will likely trade within range ahead of the FOMC policy decision tomorrow afternoon. We expect the Fed to ease policy by 25-basis points to 2.0% while maintaining a downbeat outlook on the economy similar to its previous statement. Nonetheless, we anticipate the Fed to leave policy unchanged for the remainder of the year after this week's rate cut given the aggressive easing that has already materialized.

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